After this weekend’s outcome, ADA investors may finally be able to ride bulls.

If you have invested in Cardano and are expecting a positive outcome, you may be disappointed by its recent performance. ADA has been one of the most bearish cryptocurrencies, as evidenced by its recent price action. Nonetheless, ADA bulls may be able to flex their muscles following the latest outcome.

ADA has just finished another week by entering oversold territory for the third time since June. It has been in a steady decline since the second week of September. It fell to $0.33 on October 21st, a 36% drop from its September high.


ADA price action

Source: TradingView

ADA’s bearish performance in October so far extended its downside far below its June levels. Many of its peers were still trading above their June lows. ADA’s Money Flow Index (MFI) also indicated that there has been some accumulation in the oversold zone. This also reflected in the Relative Strength Index (RSI)’s attempt to exit the oversold zone.

What is ADA’s next move?                                                 

ADA has historically bounced from the oversold zone, and if history repeats itself, then the bulls might finally take charge. ADA’s potential recovery was also backed by healthy development progress in the last few months. Unfortunately, any recent developments have not been sufficient in boosting investor confidence.

A look at some of the factors that have contributed to ADA’s downside may help gauge its potential recovery. One of the most plausible reasons could be that the market’s overall sentiment has been bearish. This coupled with relatively low development contributed to increased sell pressure. Top addresses may also have contributed to ADA’s downside.

ADA development activity and Whale transaction count

Source: Santiment

Development activity certainly witnessed a drop in the last four weeks. However, the market demonstrated some observations especially at the recent lows. The whale transaction count metric registered its biggest monthly spike in whale activity for transactions worth over $1 million.

The downside levelled out shortly after sharp increase in whale activity. This outcome confirmed that the whales were accumulating. Furthermore, ADA’s 24-hour active addresses metric registered a weekly spike in activity as sell pressure increased. The active addresses have tapered out since then, confirming the drop in sell pressure.

ADA active addresses

Source: Santiment

Despite the above observations, ADA’s 90-day mean coin age improved since its lowest point at the start of October. This can be translated as a sign that most of the buyers that have been accumulating have not been selling. In other words, there was significant accumulation since then.

Source: Santiment

Where does this leave ADA?

ADA’s metrics confirmed that there was some demand in the oversold zone. The rising mean coin age underscored the likelihood that buying pressure was building up and may eventually trigger an explosion of bullish momentum. However, lower enthusiasm at the lower range may suggest that investors might be losing interest in ADA.

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *