Avalanche [AVAX] has rallied in the last week, but don’t get too excited just yet.

Avalanche’s [AVAX] performance last week was commendable, with double-digit gains. Investors had a great time, as AVAX’s price increased by 15% during the period, according to CoinMarketCap. It was trading at $14.16 at the time of writing, with a market capitalisation of $4.3 billion.

However, the good times may be coming to an end as a trend reversal is on the horizon. According to CryptoQuant data, AVAX’s Relative Strength Index (RSI) was overbought, which was bad news for AVAX holders.


The ‘but’ in the bad news

AVAX Daily, a popular Twitter account that posts updates related to the Avalanche ecosystem, recently uploaded the network’s weekly stats. The data revealed that Avalanche’s total transactions exceeded $13.5 million last week. Not only that, but the total amount staked crossed $250 million.

Avalanche Subnet Weekly Stats

Total Subnets: 39
Total Blockchains: 30
Total Validators: 1185
Total Stake Amount: 250,365,927 AVAX

Overview🧵👇#AVAX #Avalanche $AVAX pic.twitter.com/Ld00gGxnit

— AVAX Daily 🔺 (@AVAXDaily) December 4, 2022

Furthermore, Avalanche’s DeFi space, after witnessing decline for weeks, witnessed an uptick in AVAX’s total value locked.

Source: DeFiLlama

Though CryptoQuant’s data looked bearish, other on-chain metrics painted the opposite picture. For example, AVAX’s development activity increased significantly last week. This reflected the increased effort of developers to improve the blockchain.

AVAX’s Binance funding rate also went up as compared to last week. This suggested higher interest from the derivatives market. The network also remained quite popular in the crypto community as its social volume spiked.

Source: Santiment

A win-win here?

While the aforementioned metrics looked positive, AVAX’s daily chart revealed that sellers might gain an edge in the market in the days to come. For example, the Exponential Moving Average (EMA) ribbons revealed that the bears were leading as the 20-day EMA was resting below the 55-day EMA.

Moreover, AVAX’s Money Flow Index (MFI) entered the overbought zone, further increasing the chances of a price plummet. However, the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) provided much needed relief as it displayed a bullish crossover.

Source: TradingView

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *