Based on these observations, ETH enthusiasts should brace themselves for lower volatility.

Now that Ethereum [ETH] has surpassed the $1,200 mark, it is only natural to speculate on how it will end 2022. Here are some recent observations that could set the tone for ETH’s performance in the near future.

Last week, ETH delivered an overall bullish performance, capping off an otherwise bearish November. However, recent observations indicate that the cryptocurrency’s performance this week may be marked by low volatility. According to one of the most recent Glassnode alerts, Ethereum’s transaction volume has reached a new monthly low of 56, 868.45 ETH.


📉 #Ethereum $ETH Transaction Volume (7d MA) just reached a 1-month low of 56,868.457 ETH

View metric:

— glassnode alerts (@glassnodealerts) December 4, 2022

The above observation confirmed that ETH was losing the bullish momentum observed last week. In other words, the cryptocurrency might not maintain its upside. Also consider this next observation before formulating a bearish expectation. The number of addresses holding more than 100 ETH recently achieved a new 21-month high. This could mean that buyers have been accumulating ETH and HODLing, rather than selling.

📈 #Ethereum $ETH Number of Addresses Holding 100+ Coins just reached a 21-month high of 47,491

View metric:

— glassnode alerts (@glassnodealerts) December 4, 2022

The uptrend observed in the ETH addresses with balances higher than 100 ETH metric confirmed the above observation. This was also an indicator that whales were willing to sell for now.

ETH addresses with balances above 100 ETH

Source: Glassnode

This observation may set the pace for ETH price action this week, especially if those addresses and higher whale categories hold on to their coins. There haven’t been any outflows from top addresses. Additionally, the supply held by top addresses (as a % of total supply) confirmed a large accumulation in mid-November.

ETH supply held by top addresses and ETH weighted sentiment

Source: Santiment

The same metric didn’t register any sell pressure from top addresses. Thus, this may be confirmation that the whales were not selling just yet. This was the situation despite a drop in the weighted sentiment, paving the way for a higher probability of downside. Nevertheless, the bearish sentiment reflected the previously mentioned drop in momentum.

Cloudy with a chance of sideways action

Based on the above observations, ETH’s price action could deliver some sideways action soon. If the top addresses avoid selling, as was the case at press time, then there will be low selling pressure. A lack of bullish momentum could also mean that the price will likely be in limbo. Hence, the likelihood that it will move sideways.

Interestingly, ETH’s volume dropped close to its current four-week low, further supporting the expectations of low volatility.

ETH volume

Source: Santiment

Although the current expectation is that there will be a lot of lateral movement, a different outcome is still on the table. Investors and traders should keep an eye out for any market change that may trigger a different outcome.

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