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Bitcoin bulls have set their sights on $50,000, and this renewed push is driving up the prices of large and small-cap altcoins.
Bitcoin (BTC) is currently facing rejection near $50,000, indicating that bears are not willing to give up without a fight. Many analysts expect Bitcoin to skyrocket in the fourth quarter, with stock-to-flow model creator PlanB predicting that the “worst-case scenario” for Bitcoin in October is $63,000 and $98,000 by November.
PlanB is not alone in his optimistic forecast. Using Bitcoin’s relative strength index (RSI) indicator over a four-year cycle, Twitter commentator TechDev suggests that the second leg of the 2021 bull run may have just begun.
While historical projections suggest a rally in the fourth quarter, the rise may not be linear. According to CFRA chief investment strategist Sam Stovall, the volatility of the US equity market in October is 36% higher than the average for the previous 11 months. Because Bitcoin has a high correlation with the S&P 500, traders may be in for a wild ride in October.
Could Bitcoin follow in the footsteps of its forefathers and rally to the upside? Will altcoins join in on the fun? Let’s look at the top ten cryptocurrency charts to find out.
The bulls pushed Bitcoin above the overhead resistance at $48,843.20 on Oct. 3 but the long wick on the day’s candlestick indicates that bears are defending the level aggressively. The price has been trading between the 50-day simple moving average (SMA) ($46,667) and $48,843.20 for the past two days.
If bulls drive and sustain the price above the overhead resistance, the BTC/USDT pair could pick up momentum and rally to $50,000 and later to $52,920.
The 20-day exponential moving average (EMA) ($45,478) has risen and the RSI has risen, indicating that the path of least resistance is to the upside.
In contrast to this assumption, if bears push the price below the 50-day SMA, the pair may fall to the 20-day EMA. A bounce off this support will be a positive sign, and the bulls will attempt to clear the overhead hurdle once more.
If the price breaks and remains below the 20-day EMA, the advantage will shift to the bears. The pair could then fall to the 100-day simple moving average ($41,935).
The bulls pushed Ether (ETH) above the downtrend line and the moving averages on Oct. 1, but the bears have not thrown in the towel yet. The sellers are attempting to stall the up-move near $3,500 and pull the price back below the 50-day SMA ($3,297).
If they succeed, the ETH/USDT pair could fall to the 20-day EMA ($3,194). This is a critical support for the bulls to defend because a break below it could entice more selling. The pair could then fall to the psychological level of $3,000, and then to the 100-day simple moving average ($2,841).
Alternatively, if the price bounces off the moving averages, the bulls may attempt to push the price above $3,500 one more time. If the price continues to rise above this resistance, the pair could reach $3,676.28 and then $4,000.
Binance Coin (BNB) has been facing strong resistance at the overhead resistance at $433 but the positive sign is that bulls have not given up much ground. This indicates that buyers are holding on to their positions as they anticipate a move higher.
The 20-day EMA ($395) has turned up and the RSI is in the positive territory, indicating a slight advantage to the bulls. If buyers drive and sustain the price above $433, the BNB/USDT pair could pick up momentum and rally to $518.90.
Contrary to this assumption, if the price turns down from the current level, the pair may drop to the 20-day EMA. If the price rebounds off this level, the bulls will again try to push the pair above $433. A break and close below the 20-day EMA could keep the pair range-bound for a few days.
The bulls pushed Cardano (ADA) above the 20-day EMA ($2.25) for the past two consecutive days but they could not sustain the higher levels. This suggests that the sentiment remains negative and traders are defending the 20-day EMA.
The price turned down from the 20-day EMA on Oct. 4 and the bears will now try to sink the ADA/USDT pair to the critical support at $1.94. If this level gives way, the pair could witness aggressive selling and plummet to $1.60.
This negative view will invalidate if the price turns up from the current level or rebounds off the $1.94 support and rises above the 20-day EMA. The pair could then rally to the 50-day SMA ($2.46) where bears may again mount a stiff resistance. A break above this level could clear the path for an up-move to $2.97.
Solana’s (SOL) recovery reached the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level at $177.80 on Oct. 3. This level is acting as a stiff resistance and the bears are trying to pull the price to the 20-day EMA ($150).
If the price rebounds off the current levels or the 20-day EMA, it will suggest that bulls are buying on dips. That will increase the possibility of a break above $177.80. If that happens, the SOL/USDT pair could rise to $200 and then retest the all-time high at $216.
Alternatively, if the price turns down from the current level and breaks below the 20-day EMA, it will suggest that traders are closing their positions. The pair may then drop to the 50-day SMA ($129) and later to $116.
RIpple (XRP) rose above the 20-day EMA ($1.01) on Oct. 1 and bulls tried to push the price above the $1.07 overhead resistance on Oct. 3. However, the long wick on the day’s candlestick suggests that bears are defending the 50-day SMA ($1.10) forcefully.
The price is currently stuck in the tight range between the 20-day EMA and the 50-day SMA. Both moving averages are flattish and the RSI is near the midpoint, indicating a balance between supply and demand.
This balance will tilt in favor of buyers if the price breaks and sustains above the 50-day SMA. The XRP/USDT pair could then start its journey toward the next resistance at $1.41.
On the contrary, if the price breaks and sustains below the 20-day EMA, the pair could drop to the 100-day SMA ($0.90). A break below this support could signal that bears are back in command.
Polkadot (DOT) broke above the moving averages and the downtrend line on Oct. 1, which was the first indication that bears may be losing their grip. The bulls tried to push the price above the right shoulder of the head and shoulders pattern on Oct. 2, but the long wick on the day’s candlestick indicates selling at higher levels.
The DOT/USDT pair formed a Doji candlestick pattern on Oct. 3, indicating indecision among the bulls and the bears. This uncertainty has resolved to the downside on Oct. 4 and the bears are trying to sink the price below the moving averages.
If they succeed, it will suggest that sentiment remains negative and traders are selling on rallies. The pair could then challenge the neckline of the H&S pattern.
Conversely, if the price rebounds off the moving averages, the bulls will once again try to propel the price above the right shoulder and retest the critical resistance at $38.77.
Dogecoin (DOGE) recovered to the 20-day EMA ($0.22) on Oct. 1, but the bulls have not been able to sustain the price above this resistance in the past few days. This shows that sentiment is negative and bears are selling on rallies.
The long-legged Doji candlestick pattern on Oct. 4 shows that bulls are buying near the $0.21 support while bears are selling near the 100-day SMA ($0.24). If this uncertainty resolves to the downside, the DOGE/USDT pair could drop to $0.19 and then to $0.15.
On the contrary, if bulls drive and sustain the price above the 100-day SMA, the pair could rally to the downtrend line, which could again act as a stiff resistance. A break and close above this level will be the first indication that the correction may be ending.
The long wick on the Oct. 3 candlestick suggests that bears attempted to defend the $45.01 level but they could not sustain the lower levels. Aggressive buying by the bulls on Oct. 4 pushed Terra protocol’s LUNA token to a new all-time high.
If bulls sustain the price above $45.01, it will suggest the start of a new uptrend. The rising moving averages and the RSI in the positive zone indicate that bulls are in control. The LUNA/USDT pair could first rise to $50 and if this psychological hurdle is cleared, the next stop could be $65.
Conversely, if the price fails to sustain above $45.01, the bears will try to pull the price down to the 20-day EMA ($37.45). A strong bounce off this support will suggest that the positive sentiment is intact. The bears will have to sink and sustain the price below the 50-day SMA ($33.56) to gain the upper hand.
Uniswap (UNI) rose above the 50-day SMA ($25.46) on Oct. 2 but the long wick on the day’s candlestick suggests that bears sold at higher levels. The altcoin formed an inside-day candlestick pattern on Oct. 3, indicating indecision among bulls and bears.
The uncertainty resolved to the downside and bears pulled the price to the 20-day EMA ($24.02) on Oct. 4, but a positive sign is that bulls bought the dip aggressively, as seen from the long tail on the day’s candlestick.
If the price sustains above $25, the bulls will again try to push the UNI/USDT pair above $27.62. Above this level, the pair could retest the critical resistance at $31.41.
On the other hand, if the price breaks below the moving averages, the pair could drop to $22. This is an important support for the bulls to defend because if it cracks, the decline could extend to $18.