Stack Funds hails Bitcoin’s ‘healthy correction’ predicts ‘euphoria’ ahead

Spread the love

Bitcoin could surge towards $100,000 next year following yesterday’s “healthy pullback”, with market psychology currently in the “belief” stage says Stack Funds.

Crypto index fund provider Stack Funds has labeled yesterday’s pullback as a “healthy correction” that was needed before Bitcoin continues its upward trajectory.

Bitcoin broke through $19,000 earlier this week after posting seven weeks of consecutive gains. According to the firm, the crypto has been at overbought levels since October, further supporting the need for a correction.

The firm examined metrics around market psychology, and says market participants are currently in the ‘belief’ stage of the cycle which will eventually to flow into a ‘euphoria’ stage.

To support their claims, the fund cites Glassnode’s data on Bitcoin’s net unrealized profit/loss, often referred to as NUPL — which compares BTC’s current price with when each coin last moved on-chain.

Historically, when the number of people in profit has surged above 95%, the fund explained, it has been a good indicator of market tops. Colour mapping the parameters in percentiles with various market states (Euphoria – >75%, Belief – 50% to 75%, optimism – 25% to 50%, Hope – 0% to 25%, Capitulation – <0%) allows for a breakdown of Bitcoin’s macrocycles.

RECOMMENDED READ:  EOS, Basic Attention Token, NEM Price Analysis: 26 December
Bitcoin’s Net Unrealized Profit/Loss. Source: Glassnode

The state of ‘belief’, which Bitcoin has just passed into this month, held for more than a year during the 2017 bull market, seeing the BTC price rise from $850 to almost $20,000 — representing an increase of 2,250%.

Extrapolating the 2017 bull market pattern to BTC’s current state, the fund suggested that even a quarter of this price increase would see Bitcoin hitting more than $86,000 next year, by the time we enter the ‘Euphoria’ stage of the cycle.

Other analysts also believe this is nothing more than a blip on the road, with Quantum Economics founder Mati Greenspan speculating that the correction may have already bottomed out, adding:

“A 17% pullback is rather tame for this stage of the cycle.”

Crypto personality Lark Davis pointed out this morning that it didn’t take long for support levels to stop the correction at $16,500, asking “Was this the dip? Or are we going lower?”

RECOMMENDED READ:  Germany Seeks to Expand Digital Efforts at FATF as It Takes On Watchdog’s Presidency

Crypto trader “Mayne of Tether” told his more than 70,000 Twitter followers the pullback is going to create some excellent buy-in opportunities for altcoins. Another trader account called “teklordz tweeted that the retracement is essential:

Data from analytics platform Santiment indicated that profit-taking among Bitcoin holders could become rampant, with both short-term and long-term Bitcoin holders in profit of 15% and 63% respectively.

 292 Interactions,  2 today

Ex Goldman Sachs senior says Bitcoin is going to draw further scrutiny, but ‘could work’

Speculations as to whether Bitcoin is going for mass acceptance do not appear to disappear. Since companies such as Grayscale Read more

XRP, Tron, Synthetix Market Analysis for 25th January 2021

XRP developed a bullish reversal trend and was poised to challenge the $0.3 resistance mark over the next few days. Read more

How Ripple ran the most costly blockchain advocacy campaign in 2020.

As far as lobbyist reports are concerned, Ripple Labs has advocated for lobbying reform that aims to improve the regulation Read more

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *

Contact Us

%d bloggers like this: