TRON’s [TRX] recent price movement tracked that of Bitcoin [BTC] and the US stock market. On January 11, US stock markets rose as speculators bet on lower US inflation, boosting crypto markets.
Bitcoin also rallied, breaking through the $18,000 psychological level, but was rejected at $18,375. TRX also increased in value, breaking above its short-term trading range of $0.05491 – $0.05565. However, TRX was rejected at $0.05695 and may oscillate within this range in the coming hours/days.
Will TRX move past the $0.05630 – $0.05695?
TRON was forced into another short-term price consolidation after a gradual uptrend since 6 January. The previous short-term consolidation between 9 – 10 January broke below the $0.05491 support but rebounded from the uptrend line (white line).
A similar consolidation trend and bounce back was observed between 11 – 12 January. If the trend repeats, TRX could oscillate between $0.05630 – $0.05695 and rebound from the uptrend line.
It could also break above the range if BTC is bullish and because its uptrend momentum was relatively strong, as evidenced by the Average Directional Movement Index (ADX) of 37. In addition, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) on the three-hour chart was in the overbought area, thus, strongly bullish.
However, such a bullish upswing could be kept in check by the immediate resistance range of $0.05695 – $0.05767.
Alternatively, bears could force TRX to break below $0.05630, invalidating the above bias. But the $0.05565 could hold its bears from a further downtrend.
The sentiment towards TRON remained negative
TRX’s weighted sentiment remained negative as the FUD around TRON’s founder, Justin Su and the Huobi exchange was still strong at press time. This shows that the investor’s outlook on the asset was bearish. But it didn’t prevent TRX from rallying.
In addition, TRX’s development activity dropped sharply from 10 January. However, with increasing trading volume, TRX’s price rose as well. Thus, TRX could break above its current trading range, especially if BTC is bullish.
However, a bearish BTC could give bears more leverage; thus, tracking BTC’s price action could be worthwhile.