Saturday, November 28, 2020
Why $11.5K Is the ‘Most Important’ Level for Bitcoin, Traders Explain

Why $11.5K Is the ‘Most Important’ Level for Bitcoin, Traders Explain

The price of Bitcoin is set for a weekly candle closure above $11,500 for the first time since August 2019.

The price of Bitcoin (BTC) is hovering at $11,300 and is nearing a pivotal technical level, which some traders are arguing makes $11,500 “the most important” level to confirm a new bull cycle for BTC.

If Bitcoin stays above $11,500 by Aug. 10, it would be the highest weekly close for BTC price since mid-2019. The weekly candle in August 2019 closed slightly above $11,500. In other words, a close above this level would print the best weekly candle since the 2017 bull run.

A closure above $11,500 would break Bitcoin market structure

Meanwhile, traders are closely observing the upcoming weekly candle closure because many believe it could decide whether the bull market continues. Until BTC cleanly breaks out of $11,500, technically, there is strong overhead resistance. One pseudonymous trader said:

“11.5k is the most important level on Bitcoin.”

Weekly price chart of Bitcoin with key resistance and support levels

Weekly price chart of Bitcoin with key resistance and support levels. Source: Immortal Technique

When the price of Bitcoin hit $12,000 on Aug. 2, some investors argued that BTC already broke its market structure. If so, BTC theoretically has room to surge to higher resistance levels at $14,000 and $17,000.

Sven Henrich, a trader at NorthmanTrader, believes Bitcoin could head toward $17,000. For the technical case for a prolonged rally to be intact, Henrich said BTC has to remain above $10,500.

As long as the price of Bitcoin stabilizes above $10,500, Henrich said a rally to $17,000 is possible, even if BTC then retraces. He said:

“Firstly note that a breakout is bullish if it can be successfully defended, meaning as long as $BTC can remain above the breakout trend line it has significant technical room higher… But note that inside the larger wedge consolidation a potentially much more bullish pattern has emerged, that of a potential inverse which would point to near 17,000.”

A technical case for an extended Bitcoin bull trend

A technical case for an extended Bitcoin bull trend. Source: NorthmanTrader

Variables for both bull and bear cases

In the near-term, analysts point toward various macro factors that could boost the sentiment around Bitcoin. Most notably, the value of the United States dollar is depreciating.

Overall, trading volumes across various markets, including retail and institutional, are increasing. For example, the open interest of the CME Bitcoin futures market has just hit a record high. Despite mass liquidations on Aug. 2, BTC has remained relatively stable above the key technical support level at $10,500.

While more factors seemingly buoy the bull case for Bitcoin, there are two risks BTC faces in the short term. First, until $12,000 clearly breaks, the risk of overhead resistance remains. Second, several technical metrics, including funding rates and greed index (currently at 75% or “greed”), hint at an overheated rally.

However, it is uncertain whether positive on-chain metrics, such as the number of “HODLers” reaching an all-time high, can offset potential risks. For now, until BTC’s weekly candle closes above $11,500, the market remains cautiously optimistic as attention shifts to the U.S. dollar and stocks.

  • Bitcoin
  • Ethereum
  • Litecoin
  • Zcash
Scan to Donate Bitcoin to bc1qcc3xajxvdqjnx2f7j7sfcfun7jagr0nh94fa2e

Donate Bitcoin to this address

Scan the QR code or copy the address below into your wallet to send some Bitcoin

Scan to Donate Ethereum to 0x704671D7591d05Dd0790E86Aee964558E9347b07

Donate Ethereum to this address

Scan the QR code or copy the address below into your wallet to send some Ethereum

Scan to Donate Litecoin to ltc1q7tj9ydra9ylkelu42vypp6cu2v0msf5lc2p5mq

Donate Litecoin to this address

Scan the QR code or copy the address below into your wallet to send some Litecoin

Scan to Donate Zcash to t1LiPaQ7gsSL23FbjXswpSoguP6yAE1xj5B

Donate Zcash to this address

Scan the QR code or copy the address below into your wallet to send some Zcash

 174 Interactions,  2 today

Crypto & Finance News

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *